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2012-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 1 1 0 20 35 -
Erving Walker * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 8 13 -
Kenny Boynton * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 2 6 -
Erik Murphy * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 24 26 -
Patric Young * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 15 -
Scottie Wilbekin 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 5 11 -
Casey Prather 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
Cody Larson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mike Rosario 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 1 10 20 -
Anthony Davis * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 2 0 15 33 -
Doron Lamb * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 16 18 -
Marquis Teague * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 15 21 -
Terrence Jones * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 15 25 -
Darius Miller 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 1 0 5 -
Kyle Wiltjer 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter