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2012-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 27.7% 72.3% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% -
Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.6% 90.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +3 (74-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Beal * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 5 1 1 0 20 35 -
E. Walker * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 8 13 -
K. Boynton * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 2 6 -
E. Murphy * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 24 26 -
P. Young * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 10 15 -
S. Wilbekin 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 5 11 -
C. Prather 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
C. Larson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Rosario 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 1 10 20 -
A. Davis * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 3 1 2 0 15 33 -
D. Lamb * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 16 18 -
M. Teague * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 15 21 -
T. Jones * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 15 25 -
D. Miller 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 1 1 0 5 -
K. Wiltjer 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter