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New Mexico Lobos 43
@
San Diego State Aztecs 57
2012-03-10

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico Lobos San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 28.7% 71.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% - ✓
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 ✓ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.2% 49.8% - ✗
Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 65.3% 34.7% - ✗

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +14 (57-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gordon * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 2 2 4 12 26 -
H. Greenwood * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 0 6 17 -
K. Williams * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 2 0 2 14 24 -
T. Snell * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 14 14 -
A.J. Hardeman * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 0 3 -
C. Bairstow 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 7 11 -
D. Walker 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 7 10 -
P. McDonald 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 13 -
J. Fenton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 0 -
C. Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tapley * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 25 29 -
J. Franklin * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 6 16 21 -
X. Thames * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 3 4 8 -
J. Rahon * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Shelton * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
G. Green 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 1 8 18 -
D. Stephens 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 2 2 10 -
L. Franklin 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter