Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers +1 (70-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Devin Oliver * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Josh Parker | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tu Holloway * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Andre Walker * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Justin Martin | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Dee Davis | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brad Redford | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Taylor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter