Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hanson | 38 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Amaurys Fermin | 29 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Chris Eversley | 26 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Will Donahue | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Will Taylor | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Maliik Love | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Johnson | 37 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - |
| James Nunnally | 35 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Alan Williams | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Boswell | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jaime Serna | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Keegan Hornbuckle | 20 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Taylor | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Christian Peterson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Nate Garth | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Greg Somogyi | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter