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2012-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (3.8 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +12 (64-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hanson 38 8-15 3-5 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 19 12 -
A. Fermin 29 4-10 3-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 11 2 -
C. Eversley 26 1-8 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 0 4 2 -
W. Donahue 24 1-5 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
D. Royer 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
J. Johnson 19 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Lewis 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
W. Taylor 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
M. Love 11 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Johnson 37 5-16 3-7 7-8 4 2 0 0 0 20 10 -
J. Nunnally 35 4-10 1-3 4-4 3 4 1 0 0 13 11 -
A. Williams 28 1-3 0-0 2-4 10 0 0 1 1 4 11 -
K. Boswell 24 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 7 8 -
J. Serna 24 5-9 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 10 6 -
K. Hornbuckle 20 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
T.J. Taylor 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
C. Peterson 5 0-0 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
N. Garth 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Somogyi 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 -

* = starter