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2012-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +4 (60-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Green * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 16 21 -
D. Finney-Smith * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 0 2 7 19 -
D. Hudson * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 10 -
C. Raines * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 6 11 -
J. Eddie * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 5 7 -
R. Brown 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 16 20 -
C.J. Barksdale 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Rankin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Rivers * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 17 25 -
M. Plumlee * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 3 3 12 22 -
Tyler Thornton * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 13 22 -
Seth Curry * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 1 0 2 9 19 -
M. Plumlee * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Josh Hairston 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
Andre Dawkins 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Quinn Cook 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter