Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +17 (92-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Gatens * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Zach McCabe * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| D. Marble * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Aaron White * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Gabriel Olaseni | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Eric May | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Appling * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Wood * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Austin Thornton * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 38 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Travis Trice | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Brandan Kearney | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Ianni | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joe Sweeny | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter