Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| B. Paul * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 29 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| T. Griffey * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 21 | - |
| S. Maniscalco | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| N. Egwu | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Gatens * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Aaron White * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 26 | - |
| D. Marble * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Zach McCabe * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Josh Oglesby | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Eric May | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter