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2012-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 77.1% 22.9% -
Bradley-Terry 31.6% 68.4% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 36.7% 63.3% -
Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% -
Log Adjusted 37.7% 62.3% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Richardson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 1 11 19 -
B. Paul * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 1 7 4 7 -
M. Leonard * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 2 0 18 29 -
T. Abrams * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 3 7 -
T. Griffey * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 2 0 9 21 -
S. Maniscalco 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 3 8 -
J. Bertrand 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 11 14 -
N. Egwu 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 20 23 -
B. Cartwright * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 1 2 5 15 -
A. White * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 3 0 0 13 26 -
D. Marble * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 2 0 1 5 12 -
Z. McCabe * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 1 0 5 15 -
M. Basabe 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 7 11 -
J. Oglesby 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 13 -
A. Brommer 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 1 3 -
E. May 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter