Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.5% | 56.5% | +1.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.