Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +15 (79-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Justin Hammonds * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Green | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Max Yon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Williams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| Drew Gordon * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Chad Adams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dominique Dunning | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter