Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Drmic * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 30 | - |
| T. Bropleh * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| D. Marks * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 14 | - |
| K. Buckner * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| J. Elorriaga * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Wiley | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. Watkins | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| W. Perryman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hanstad | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Franklin * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 23 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| C. Tapley * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 28 | - |
| X. Thames * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Stephens | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Green | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Franklin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter