Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.4% | 80.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +12 (66-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Martin | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Robert Smith | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Kareem Nitoto | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| B.J. Shearry | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| David Chavarria | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Elliott Berry | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Austin Quick | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daymond Cowlah | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Hanson | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Amaurys Fermin | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Chris Eversley | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Dylan Royer | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Will Donahue | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Will Taylor | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Maliik Love | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
* = starter