Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd -1 (52-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.