Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Hampton Pirates | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Hampton Pirates +4 (69-65). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Black * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Aric Brooks * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Blake Bozeman * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Shaquille Duncan * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Thair Heath * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Thompson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 28 | - |
| Larry Bastfield | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Dewayne Jackson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ian Chiles | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ameer Ali | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Canty | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Hampton Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrion Pellum * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 29 | - |
| Christopher Tolson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 26 | - |
| Danny Agbelese * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Wesley Dunning * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Mike Tuitt * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jasper Williams | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 25 | - |
| David Bruce | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Emmanuel Okoroba | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Austin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Orin O'Bryant | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter