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2012-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Miami (OH) Redhawks Toledo Rockets Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% +8.8 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Margin 37.6% 62.4% +2.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“

Actual: Toledo Rockets +7 (60-53). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Miami (OH) Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quinten Rollins * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 2 6 12 -
Drew McGhee * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 3 2 0 16 30 -
Julian Mavunga * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 0 1 12 23 -
Brian Sullivan * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 9 11 -
Jon Harris * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 2 5 -
Josh Sewell 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
Adam Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Vince Legarza 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Will Sullivan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Toledo Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rian Pearson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 2 0 4 21 34 -
Dominique Buckley * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 4 0 1 7 14 -
Matt Smith * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 12 21 -
Curtis Dennis * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 7 13 -
Julius Brown * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 9 12 -
Reese Holliday 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 4 13 -
Richard Wonnell 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
A.J. Mathew 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter