Model Predictions
| Model | Miami (OH) Redhawks | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | +8.8 | โ (1.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | โ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | โ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | โ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +7 (60-53). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Miami (OH) Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinten Rollins * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Drew McGhee * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 30 | - |
| Julian Mavunga * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Brian Sullivan * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Jon Harris * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Josh Sewell | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Adam Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Vince Legarza | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Sullivan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian Pearson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 34 | - |
| Dominique Buckley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Matt Smith * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Curtis Dennis * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Julius Brown * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Reese Holliday | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Richard Wonnell | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Mathew | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter