🐻⬇️🏀

Fairfield Stags 44
@
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds 48
2012-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Fairfield Stags Loyola Maryland Greyhounds Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% - ✓
Margin 44.3% 55.7% +1.3 ✓ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 62.5% 37.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 47.2% 52.8% - ✓

Actual: Loyola Maryland Greyhounds +4 (48-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fairfield Stags

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Barrow * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 2 1 1 10 26 -
R. Olander * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 3 2 11 19 -
C. Nickerson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 2 4 7 -
D. Wade * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 4 14 -
R. Sanders * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 4 12 19 -
J. Fields 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 1 3 -
K. Matthews 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
S. Crawford 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Olson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 7 11 -
Dylon Cormier * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 5 12 -
R.J. Williams * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 5 -
Erik Etherly * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 5 3 10 22 -
Shane Walker * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 4 7 -
Anthony Winbush 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 10 -
Justin Drummond 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 8 6 -
Jordan Latham 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 0 5 12 -
Julius Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter