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2012-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Robert Morris Colonials Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% +3.0 โœ— (10.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% - โœ—
Margin 26.0% 74.0% +5.7 โœ— (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.7% 62.3% - โœ—

Actual: Wagner Seahawks -7 (64-71). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Robert Morris Colonials

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Johnson * 31 4-12 1-4 3-4 8 1 1 1 2 12 9 -
Velton Jones * 29 5-10 1-3 14-16 1 1 0 0 3 25 14 -
Coron Williams * 26 3-6 2-3 3-4 4 2 1 0 3 11 9 -
Mike McFadden * 19 1-3 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Lawrence Bridges * 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 0 4 -
Lucky Jones 31 2-6 0-2 5-7 9 0 2 0 2 9 12 -
Lijah Thompson 19 2-10 0-0 1-1 9 1 1 3 1 5 8 -
A. Myers-Pate 17 1-4 1-1 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
Brandon Herman 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Latif Rivers * 34 3-12 1-7 11-12 2 4 1 0 2 18 11 -
Kenneth Ortiz * 31 1-9 0-0 4-5 4 5 1 0 5 6 2 -
Jonathon Williams * 31 2-6 0-0 7-11 6 0 0 0 1 11 10 -
Tyler Murray * 26 6-11 3-7 0-2 1 1 1 0 2 15 5 -
Naofall Folahan * 19 1-2 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 3 0 2 8 -
Chris Martin 23 1-3 1-2 2-4 1 0 2 0 1 5 4 -
Mario Moody 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Josh Thompson 9 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 2 0 3 6 -
Marcus Burton 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Orlando Parker 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter