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2012-03-04

Model Predictions

Model George Mason Patriots VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Margin 19.7% 80.3% +7.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% - โœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

George Mason Patriots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Morrison * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 4 3 20 32 -
A. Cornelius * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 15 16 -
V. Vaughns * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
B. Allen * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 2 3 -
R. Pearson * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 6 10 -
S. Wright 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 6 13 -
J. Arledge 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 1 0 10 22 -
V. Gray 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Edwards 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Theus * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 7 3 0 2 5 14 -
Troy Daniels * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 17 24 -
Bradford Burgess * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 20 23 -
Juvonte Reddic * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 3 12 14 -
D.J. Haley * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 2 7 -
Rob Brandenberg 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 2 1 14 22 -
Briante Weber 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Treveon Graham 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
David Hinton 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Teddy Okereafor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jarred Guest 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter