Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.3% | 92.7% | +14.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hooten * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Peterson * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| T. Finn * | 33 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| E. Townsel * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Kirkland * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Griswold | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Dickerson | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| A. Sterrenberg | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Dendy * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 1-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| B. Massey * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| R. Cintron * | 30 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 7 | - |
| M. Knight * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| S. Jones * | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Sulton | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Hammonds II | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Gallman | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Oden | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter