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2012-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 27.7% 72.3% +5.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.2% 74.8% -
Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% -
Log Adjusted 5.8% 94.2% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +14 (70-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Leonard * 36 3-8 0-0 2-3 12 0 0 0 2 8 10 -
B. Paul * 36 8-17 1-4 5-7 6 2 1 1 3 22 12 -
D.J. Richardson * 28 2-7 1-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 5 -1 -
T. Abrams * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
N. Egwu * 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 2 0 -1 -
J. Bertrand 25 4-7 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 10 4 -
S. Maniscalco 22 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
M. Henry 9 0-4 0-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
T. Griffey 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
J. Selus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Berardini 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Shaw 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Djimde 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dukan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
E. Anderson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Jackson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Taylor * 38 3-7 2-3 8-10 3 3 0 0 0 16 15 -
J. Gasser * 36 4-6 1-2 7-8 8 2 0 0 1 16 19 -
J. Berggren * 32 3-5 0-0 6-9 5 1 1 1 2 12 13 -
R. Evans * 31 5-10 0-1 0-0 5 3 1 0 1 10 8 -
M. Bruesewitz * 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 2 5 -
R. Wilson 26 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 8 3 -
B. Brust 13 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 3 -
F. Kaminsky 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter