Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Penn State Nittany Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.6% | 30.4% | -6.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.9% | 23.1% | -6.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Nittany Lions -6 (65-71). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 37 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Trey Burke * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Stu Douglass * | 35 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Zack Novak * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 30 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Colton Christian | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Marshall * | 40 | 10-18 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Tim Frazier * | 35 | 4-16 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Graham * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7 | - |
| Matt Glover | 36 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Ross Travis | 27 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Trey Lewis | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sasa Borovnjak | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Colella | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter