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2012-03-04

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 41.5% 58.5% +1.9 (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.3% 15.7% -
Log Adjusted 84.4% 15.6% -

Actual: Florida Gators -15 (59-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 36 3-7 0-1 1-2 8 4 2 0 2 7 12 -
T. Jones * 36 9-13 1-1 0-1 4 1 2 3 0 19 16 -
A. Davis * 36 9-13 1-2 3-4 12 0 0 6 1 22 26 -
D. Lamb * 34 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 0 -
M. Teague * 33 4-9 1-2 3-4 2 4 1 0 1 12 9 -
D. Miller 17 3-7 0-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 6 0 -
K. Wiltjer 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Walker * 36 3-11 2-7 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 8 0 -
E. Murphy * 36 4-9 2-5 4-4 8 2 0 0 1 14 14 -
B. Beal * 36 1-10 1-5 2-2 7 4 2 1 1 5 8 -
P. Young * 35 10-15 0-0 1-1 9 0 0 0 0 21 15 -
S. Wilbekin * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
K. Boynton 25 2-8 1-5 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 7 3 -
M. Rosario 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
C. Prather 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter