Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | TCU Horned Frogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: TCU Horned Frogs -6 (92-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 43 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 42 | 9-18 | 3-8 | 14-17 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 32 | - |
| X. Thames * | 36 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Stephens | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| G. Green | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| L. Franklin | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| N. Ebrahimian | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
TCU Horned Frogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheick Kone | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Zurcher | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hank Thorns * | 42 | 8-21 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Kyan Anderson * | 38 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J.R. Cadot * | 35 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 10-12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Craig Williams * | 25 | 2-12 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Connell Crossland * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Garlon Green | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Adrick McKinney | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Butler Lind | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Amric Fields | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter