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2012-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 33.2% 66.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% - โœ“
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 โœ— (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.7% 44.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.6% 44.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Drew Crawford * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 5 0 3 18 27 -
Dave Sobolewski * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 9 10 -
John Shurna * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 9 14 -
JerShon Cobb * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 13 16 -
Reggie Hearn * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 9 18 -
Davide Curletti 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 7 13 -
Alex Marcotullio 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 7 -
Nick Fruendt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Gatens * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 17 25 -
Bryce Cartwright * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 8 1 0 6 6 15 -
Aaron White * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 1 14 20 -
D. Marble * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 11 10 -
Zach McCabe * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 6 11 -
Josh Oglesby 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 5 10 -
Melsahn Basabe 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 5 7 -
Andrew Brommer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Eric May 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter