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2012-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 23.7% 76.3% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 16.5% 83.5% +8.9 (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% -
Efficiency 21.1% 78.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% -
Log Adjusted 30.0% 70.0% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Crawford * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 5 0 3 18 27 -
D. Sobolewski * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 9 10 -
J. Shurna * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 9 14 -
J. Cobb * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 13 16 -
R. Hearn * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 9 18 -
D. Curletti 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 7 13 -
A. Marcotullio 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 5 7 -
N. Fruendt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 17 25 -
B. Cartwright * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 8 1 0 6 6 15 -
A. White * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 1 14 20 -
D. Marble * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 11 10 -
Z. McCabe * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 6 11 -
J. Oglesby 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 5 10 -
M. Basabe 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 5 7 -
A. Brommer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
E. May 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter