Model Predictions
| Model | George Washington Colonials | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +16 (75-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Washington Colonials
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Taylor * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Lasan Kromah * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| John Kopriva * | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dwayne Smith * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Aaron Ware * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| David Pellom | 35 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Nemanja Mikic | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jabari Edwards | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bryan Bynes | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dan Guest | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jonathan Davis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Oliver * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Dillard * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Matt Kavanaugh * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Chris Johnson * | 28 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Paul Williams * | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Josh Parker | 17 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Alex Gavrilovic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luke Fabrizius | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ralph Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter