Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.6% | 21.4% | -7.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -10 (65-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Green * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Kaipo Sabas * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Wes Eikmeier * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Will Bell * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Pierce Hornung * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jesse Carr | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Greg Smith | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Dwight Smith | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Player #41918 * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Todd Fletcher | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Kyle Green | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Max Yon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter