Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mardracus Wade * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Rickey Scott * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Michael Sanchez * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Julysses Nobles * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marvell Waithe * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rashad Madden | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B.J. Young | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Brandon Mitchell | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Hunter Mickelson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Devonta Abron | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kikko Haydar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnett Moultrie * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 35 | - |
| Dee Bost * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 26 | - |
| Brian Bryant * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Jalen Steele * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Renardo Sidney * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Rodney Hood | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Wendell Lewis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Charles Parker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Taylor Luczak | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Deville Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Reed Clayton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Roquez Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Baxter Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter