Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +20 (79-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wade * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| R. Scott Jr. * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Sanchez * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Nobles * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Waithe * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Madden | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Young | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| B. Mitchell | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| H. Mickelson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| D. Abron | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| K. Haydar | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Moultrie * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 35 | - |
| D. Bost * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 26 | - |
| B. Bryant * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 24 | - |
| J. Steele * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| R. Sidney * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| R. Hood | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| W. Lewis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Parker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Luczak | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Clayton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Cunningham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Price | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter