Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Derrick Marks * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Westly Perryman * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Buckner * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Watkins | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gordon * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 41 | - |
| Kendall Williams * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 25 | - |
| Tony Snell * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Chad Adams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter