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2012-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 22.0% 78.0% -
Bradley-Terry 48.6% 51.4% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 43.2% 56.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% -
Log Adjusted 7.9% 92.1% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Elorriaga * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 9 13 -
A. Drmic * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 7 12 -
D. Marks * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 5 17 21 -
W. Perryman * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
K. Buckner * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
R. Watkins 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 16 25 -
T. Bropleh 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 12 15 -
J. Hanstad 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gordon * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 1 0 2 30 41 -
K. Williams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 1 9 19 -
H. Greenwood * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 0 15 25 -
T. Snell * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 0 1 1 3 12 -
A.J. Hardeman * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
D. Walker 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 6 -
P. McDonald 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Fenton 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
C. Bairstow 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
C. Adams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 6 -

* = starter