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2012-06-29

Model Predictions

Model Connecticut Sun Washington Mystics Spread Result
Elo 90.0% 10.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 88.2% 11.8% - โœ“
Margin 83.6% 16.4% -8.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 75.2% 24.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 69.2% 30.8% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Mystics -13 (64-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Jones 36 8-13 1-1 3-4 11 2 1 0 4 20 17 -
Tina Charles 31 6-15 0-1 1-1 10 2 1 4 4 13 11 -
K. Lawson 31 2-6 1-4 4-5 4 3 0 1 0 9 11 -
K. Greene 25 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 1 2 0 2 3 4 -
A. Hightower 22 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 4 6 -
R. Montgomery 21 2-7 1-1 5-5 1 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
T. White 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 3 0 -
M. Bass 13 5-5 0-0 5-6 5 1 0 0 1 15 15 -
D. McCray 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bobbitt 31 2-7 1-3 2-2 1 7 2 0 3 7 7 -
C. Langhorne 28 5-13 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 3 11 2 -
M. Currie 27 7-15 2-4 5-7 6 2 0 0 0 21 14 -
M. Ajavon 27 1-9 1-3 1-2 1 1 2 0 2 4 -3 -
L. Wisdom-Hylton 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 2 1 2 8 -
M. Snow 17 2-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
A. Robinson 17 2-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
N. Novosel 14 3-10 0-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 7 0 -
N. Quinn 13 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jasmine Thomas 9 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter