Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -13 (64-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjha Jones * | 36 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles * | 30 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kalana Greene * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Allison Hightower * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Renee Montgomery | 20 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tan White | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Mistie Bass | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Danielle McCray | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Bobbitt * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Crystal Langhorne * | 28 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Matee Ajavon * | 26 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Michelle Snow * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Noelle Quinn * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Monique Currie | 26 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Natalie Novosel | 13 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Jasmine Thomas | 9 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter