Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.5% | 19.5% | -7.8 | ✗ (21.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +14 (94-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alana Beard * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 32 | 10-17 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 30 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| April Sykes | 23 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Coco Miller | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 29 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Becky Hammon * | 28 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 23 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 23 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 22 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter