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2012-06-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Chicago Sky Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% - โœ—
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.6 โœ— (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.6% 66.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - โœ—

Actual: Chicago Sky -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tamika Catchings * 32 3-15 3-6 8-8 5 9 4 0 1 17 19 -
Shavonte Zellous * 29 7-8 3-3 1-2 2 3 1 1 0 18 17 -
Briann January * 27 3-10 1-2 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 7 2 -
Tammy Sutton-Brown * 27 5-6 0-0 0-0 8 2 2 2 1 10 17 -
Katie Douglas * 24 2-8 0-2 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 6 1 -
Jeanette Pohlen-Mavunga 20 5-7 4-6 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 14 5 -
Erin Phillips 18 0-3 0-0 3-4 2 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
Jessica Davenport 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 5 -
Erlana Larkins 7 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Sasha Goodlett 4 1-1 0-0 0-3 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Swin Cash * 35 5-11 1-3 6-7 5 3 2 2 3 17 15 -
Sylvia Fowles * 35 7-10 0-0 5-8 10 3 0 1 2 19 21 -
Tamera Young * 31 6-12 0-0 3-7 3 1 1 0 0 15 8 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 23 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 1 5 8 6 -
Ruth Riley * 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Sonja Petrovic 24 2-10 1-3 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 7 1 -
Ticha Penicheiro 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 1 3 0 1 -
Shay Murphy 12 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Carolyn Swords 4 1-2 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter