Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 34 | 6-18 | 3-7 | 8-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| C. Houston | 32 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -1 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 29 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| K. Thomas | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 29 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| M. Moore | 28 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| S. Augustus | 25 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | - |
| L. Whalen | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| R. Brunson | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| M. Wright | 21 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 19 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| A. Harris | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Peters | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Thorn | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter