Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briann January | 29 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Douglas | 29 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| S. Zellous | 25 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| T. Catchings | 22 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Phillips | 20 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| T. Sutton-Brown | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Larkins | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| J. Davenport | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Pohlen-Mavunga | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Hodges | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Goodlett | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lyttle | 34 | 7-19 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 30 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| L. Harding | 29 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 25 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| A. Herrington | 23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - |
| C. Kraayeveld | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| A. Henry-Morello | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Swanier | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Y. Leuchanka | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter