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2012-06-24

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 โœ“ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 54.1% 45.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.2% 45.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +17 (72-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Crystal Langhorne * 37 9-15 0-1 3-8 6 2 2 0 2 21 14 -
Noelle Quinn * 25 4-9 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 10 5 -
Matee Ajavon * 23 4-13 3-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 11 -1 -
Michelle Snow * 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 2 2 0 9 -
Jasmine Thomas * 16 1-6 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Shannon Bobbitt 23 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 2 3 6 -
Lindsay Wisdom-Hylton 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 4 5 -
Monique Currie 19 0-6 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Natalie Novosel 6 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Ashley Robinson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Natasha Lacy 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sue Bird * 33 5-10 2-4 2-2 4 5 0 0 2 14 11 -
Katie Smith * 32 3-5 1-3 2-2 2 3 3 0 0 9 12 -
Tanisha Wright * 30 2-5 0-1 3-5 1 5 2 0 3 7 7 -
Ann Wauters * 27 7-10 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 14 12 -
Camille Smith * 25 4-6 0-0 1-3 5 1 1 0 3 9 7 -
Tina Thompson 18 3-8 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
Shekinna Stricklen 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 5 5 -
Ewelina Kobryn 12 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
Alysha Clark 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter