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2012-06-24

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 22.7% 77.3% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 18.2% 81.8% - โœ—
Margin 7.0% 93.0% +14.2 โœ— (34.2 off)
Pythagorean 26.0% 74.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 7.6% 92.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 7.5% 92.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 22.3% 77.7% - โœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -20 (71-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Becky Hammon * 33 5-14 2-5 0-0 3 10 0 0 1 12 10 -
Sophia Young-Malcolm * 33 7-11 0-0 6-8 9 2 2 0 2 20 20 -
Danielle Robinson * 29 7-10 0-1 0-0 2 7 2 0 2 14 13 -
Jayne Appel Marinelli * 24 3-6 0-0 3-3 11 3 1 0 1 9 17 -
Shameka Christon * 24 5-9 4-7 2-3 1 1 0 0 0 16 9 -
Danielle Adams 18 4-6 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 9 11 -
Shenise Johnson 15 1-5 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 1 4 8 -
Jia Perkins 14 3-9 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 7 -1 -
Ziomara Morrison 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Tully Bevilaqua 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nneka Ogwumike * 34 4-12 0-0 2-9 5 0 0 3 1 10 5 -
Candace Parker * 33 6-17 0-3 3-5 15 3 1 2 2 15 17 -
Kristi Toliver * 31 3-14 2-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 8 0 -
Alana Beard * 27 4-7 2-3 0-0 0 4 2 0 2 10 7 -
DeLisha Milton-Jones * 23 6-9 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 13 4 -
April Sykes 19 4-10 1-5 2-2 4 3 2 0 1 11 9 -
Marissa Coleman 15 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Coco Miller 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 4 -
Jantel Lavender 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter