Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -20 (71-91). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Becky Hammon * | 33 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Sophia Young-Malcolm * | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Danielle Robinson * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jayne Appel Marinelli * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Shameka Christon * | 24 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Danielle Adams | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Shenise Johnson | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jia Perkins | 14 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Ziomara Morrison | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tully Bevilaqua | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 33 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Kristi Toliver * | 31 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| April Sykes | 19 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Coco Miller | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter