Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.3% | 10.7% | -11.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -9 (84-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lavender | 37 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| K. Toliver | 35 | 10-16 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 20 | - |
| A. Beard | 32 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 30 | 4-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Coleman | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Sykes | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Miller | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 38 | 7-21 | 1-9 | 9-11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| K. Thomas | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| C. Houston | 32 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 6 | - |
| S. Prahalis | 32 | 8-17 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 16 | - |
| A. Hornbuckle | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Warley-Talbert | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| A. Gray-Lawson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Riley | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter