Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +12 (79-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Fowles * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 31 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Ruth Riley * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sonja Petrovic | 21 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Sydney Carter | 8 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Carolyn Swords | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 28 | 9-18 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Monica Wright | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Amber Harris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter