Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.6% | 52.4% | +0.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +12 (54-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Moran * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Marc Sonnen * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jake Koch * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Deon Mitchell * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Seth Tuttle * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Anthony James | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chip Rank | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Austin Pehl | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Matt Morrison | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Carmichael * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 16 | 38 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jon Ekey * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Bryant Allen | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darious Clark | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter