Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.5% | 97.5% | +20.1 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +32 (102-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cappie Pondexter * | 31 | 11-21 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Leilani Mitchell * | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nicole Powell | 28 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelley Cain | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Seimone Augustus * | 29 | 9-12 | 4-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 30 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Maya Moore * | 23 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Monica Wright | 20 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Devereaux Peters | 18 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Candice Wiggins | 17 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Amber Harris | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Erin Thorn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter