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2012-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Margin 64.6% 35.4% -3.3 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 57.4% 42.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 94.9% 5.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% - โœ“

Actual: Columbia Lions -7 (70-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. McNally * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 12 17 -
B. Curry * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 8 2 0 4 7 16 -
K. Wright * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 1 3 16 22 -
K. Casey * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 4 0 2 19 28 -
L. Rivard * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 11 -
W. Saunders 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 0 7 13 -
S. Moundou-Missi 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
C. Miller 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Webster 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Travis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Barbour * 45 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 2 0 3 23 29 -
Meiko Lyles * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 10 -
Alex Rosenberg * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 2 1 10 18 -
Mark Cisco * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 1 12 20 -
Cory Osetkowski 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 10 14 -
Chris Crockett 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
Noah Springwater 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
John Daniels 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Blaise Staab 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Matt Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -

* = starter