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2012-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.8% 90.2% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Simons * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 11 15 -
J. Jeffers * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 8 10 -
R. Rice * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 1 1 15 26 -
K. Alexander * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 14 20 -
J. Clarke * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 2 0 11 25 -
A. Hawley 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
D. Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
K. Woods 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McDermott * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 3 26 34 -
A. Young * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 16 18 -
G. Echenique * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 2 10 16 -
J. Manigat * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 8 16 -
G. Gibbs * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Jones 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 7 -
A. Chatman 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 5 12 -
E. Wragge 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
A. Dingman 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
W. Artino 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter