Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +16 (95-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Temeka Johnson * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Ivory Latta * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Kayla Pedersen * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Glory Johnson * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Karima Christmas-Kelly * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Riquna Williams | 22 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Amber Holt | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Courtney Paris | 17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 14-14 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 34 | 14-21 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 33 | 29 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 28 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marissa Coleman | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Coco Miller | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| April Sykes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter