Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -13 (60-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leilani Mitchell * | 35 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Kia Vaughn * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 28 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| DeMya Walker * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Nicole Powell | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kara Braxton | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Alex Montgomery | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Miller | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kelley Cain | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sancho Lyttle * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Armintie Herrington * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Lindsey Harding * | 23 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Aneika Morello * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Cathrine Kraayeveld | 26 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 24 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Yelena Leuchanka | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Jessica Moore | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Laurie Koehn | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter